russia of the future

 

The latter may, but does not have to, include participation in public protests. “People want to preserve their identity, progressiveness, initiative, freedom … but the West for them is not an example of liberalism, but an example of its death.”. In June 2019, the Justice Ministry refused to register Navalny’s “Russia of the Future” party, on the grounds that there was already an existing political party with this name. The reaction I received points visibly in a different direction. Opposition politician Alexey Navalny has been attempting to register his own political party under various names since 2012. Maybe most astonishingly, the tendency can be observed even among the law enforcement services and security forces. It will be something different: homegrown democratisation that does not necessarily take the West as an unconditional model. Journalists are maybe the least surprising representatives of this breed. Instead, they came from the Kremlin – or, well, almost. Sadly, however, most of these terms remain predominantly proclamatory; there is no concrete meaning to them. Russia is self-sufficient militarily and politically. Today’s striving for rules and standards is not rooted in an admiration of the Western model, but in real-life needs at home. This is how she described her motivation to protest in an email to me: “I worked with Ivan for many years. In this major you'll learn how Russian society has changed over centuries. PROSPECTS FOR FUTURE RUSSIA-UK RELATIONS. Few would think of – or even remember – the small, mostly one-person demonstrations from July 2020, when a handful of people turned up to protest against the arrest of the journalist Ivan Safronov, accused of betraying state secrets. “The problem is that to think liberally, in Russia that automatically means to be in favour of the West. But that is dangerous – you identify with the enemy and share his values.”. In June 2019, the Justice Ministry refused to register Navalny’s “Russia of the Future” party, on the grounds that there was already an existing political party with this name. Although the prospect for future arms reduction with Russia seems bleak, given the stakes involved with nuclear weapons, the next President should seek opportunities to engage Russia on this issue if possible. They could lead the country to change from the top. Future Russian Capabilities. The US already has thousands of military robots and unmanned aircraft in Afghanistan. While the election prompts uncertainty about what the future holds for politics in Russia, it also calls into question hopes for sustained democracy worldwide. That leaves journalists – quite regardless of their personal political views – with an unenviable choice: to change profession, to redefine their profession, or to try to find a way to demand a more lawful environment. Russia of the Future; List of largest political parties; 2019 Moscow protests; 2021 Russian protests; Usage on es.wikipedia.org Alekséi Navalni; Rusia del Futuro; Protestas en Rusia de 2021; Usage on eu.wikipedia.org Aleksei Navalni; Usage on fa.wikipedia.org تظاهرات ۲۰۲۱ روسیه; Usage on fi.wikipedia.org Tulevaisuuden Venäjä “We have communicated the case to the European Court of … Under its emerging system, Russia would be a country governed by McKinsey consultants who are loyal to Putin and will preserve his policies once he is gone.” Thus, according to this counter-theory, people’s professional standards will not translate into politically meaningful demands, but rather, political loyalty will be the key for professional fulfilment; the first condition that gives access to professional jobs to start with. Which way it goes may be one of the big questions for Russia’s future: will people’s personal and professional standards end up pressuring the regime to reform, or will the regime manage to recruit enough loyalists to fill the ranks and ignore such demands? This means that the West should give up its (sometimes subconscious) hopes of seeing Russia set the clock back to 1991 and starting it all over, with “proper democrats” in charge. The lack of a resolution remains a hurdle for bilateral relations. The demand for rules and standards is in many important ways quite different from the pro-democracy movement of the late 1980s and early 1990s. The Orthodox revival in Russia today is closely bound up with the future of the Russian land. But Russia … Ankara is seen to be slowly moving away from its NATO partners and towards Russia. After analyzing the reports and articles published by Russian media, it looks like Russia is more concerned about its future combat capabilities and making continuous efforts to modernize its armed forces. One of those who got arrested after her single-person protest was Elena Chernenko, the diplomatic correspondent of the Kommersant daily newspaper, and as such a regular presence at the Russian foreign ministry. The European Council on Foreign Relations does not take collective positions. My visit to Moscow and the future of EU-Russia relations . In previous years, the Justice Ministry refused to register his party on the grounds that there were already parties with the same names, or over alleged paperwork errors. Moreover, Russia is among the countries which have the highest abortion rates. “Members of the security forces are increasingly willing to express criticisms of the government and their own conditions,” he writes, noting that in the future the government may have to fight for “the hearts and minds of [its] praetorians.”. His arrest prompted similar, if somewhat bigger, demonstrations of solidarity, which resulted in his release, and also, highly unusually, in the trial of the police officers who had tried to frame him. Start with the vote on constitutional reform. In fact, a much more flexible line will be chosen for the pro-Russian movement in the future, but it will be more post-Soviet-paternalistic than Slavophile-conspiratorial. Its agents are less likely to be from among the intelligentsia and more likely to be from among the professional class or medium-sized business owners. Instead, it should keep an open mind to those curious indigenous sprouts of democracy that spring from the ugly political soil of today’s Russia. Russia's military forces will generally meet their security goals within available resources. Russian Disinformation and Interference in Domestic Politics. Unfortunately, the third pillar of the future world order, the third technological platform has never materialized. The working theory was that the successor was Sergei Sobyanin, the current Mayor of Moscow. ECFR publications only represent the views of its individual authors. Likewise, to truly unlock his potential as a policymaker (not just a regime-breaker), Alexey Navalny might need a change in the Kremlin that comes from inside the system. And if we assume that the more suppressive the regime gets, the more it needs to rely on loyalists, the thinner and poorer its professional base becomes, and the more fragile its future looks – then where is the point of no return or the tipping point? Navalny had submitted the documents to register his party earlier that same month. But it would be wrong to assume that such opportunistic use of anti-Western rhetoric automatically makes it less genuine. At times, some anti-Western statements by pro-democracy Russians may also include a dose of political positioning. The Navalny protests showed the impressive geographical reach of a semi-organised opposition – boosted on this occasion by a general sense of dissatisfaction with the state of affairs in the country, and moral outrage over Navalny’s arrest, the glaring unfairness of which went beyond many people’s threshold of indifference. But in that vision, the future Russia will be administered by technocrats whose professionalism is brilliant, their loyalty unquestionable, but their positions adjustable according to the orders of the day. This article was first published in Internationale Politik Quarterly, on 30 March 2021. By Leyla Latypova. Russia, Iran And The Future Of Syria's Assad May 18, 2020 By Alireza Taheri; Russian President Vladimir Putin, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu visit the headquarters of Russian forces in Damascus, January 7, 2020 . The future of Navalnyism in Russian politics. Moscow may have made history in 1961 when the first manned spaceflight orbited the earth, but Russian prospects of future missions to far-away planets are looking more limited because of political tensions, one expert claims. They are driven not by liberal ideology, but by their personal conscience and professional ethics. 07/02/2021 - 19:37. Ivan Safronov, a former journalist and aide to the head of Roscosmos who remains in custody on state treason charges, stands inside a defendants' cage in Moscow last September, picture alliance / REUTERS | Evgenia Novozhenina, Ivan Krastev and Gleb Pavlovsky have described the emerging administrative class, First aid: How Russia and the West can help Syrians in Idlib, Sputnik in Europe: What Russia’s vaccine could mean for European health sovereignty, Push back, contain, and engage: How the EU should approach relations with Russia, Useful enemies: How the Turkey-UAE rivalry is remaking the Middle East, War of unreality: Why Russia is threatening to escalate the Ukraine conflict, How Germany’s Greens could spell the end for the Franco-German fighter jet, Military lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh: Reason for Europe to worry. I attempt both kinds of extrapolation, progressive and regressive, in the following discussion of Russia’s future. Today’s agents of democracy are the opposite – they know the West better, but take a bleaker view of it. “It is a means of adaptation as well as a natural process that is linked to growing alienation from the West, mutual incomprehension,” stresses Stanovaya. The “Russia of the Future” party that was dismantled on Monday, September 21, first appeared on the Justice Ministry’s list of registered political parties at the end of May 2019. “It is disillusionment with the West as well as an attempt to accommodate oneself in Russia’s domestic political system,” the Paris-based analyst Tatiana Stanovaya, who coined the term “anti-Western liberals” in reference to the recent statements by the theatre director Konstantin Bogomolov and politician Grigory Yavlinsky, explained to me in recent emails. The Future of Sino-Russian Commercial Aviation "Typically for the USA, it assumed until recently that the Chinese civil aviation market was its own for the asking" for a total of $350 billion over 20 years . Aleksei Navalny and the Future of Russia Over the weekend, a standoff between President Vladimir Putin and his loudest critic became a showdown in the streets. Russia’s future and historical perspective depend on how many of us there are (I would like to start the main part of my Address with demography), how many children are born in Russian families in one, five or ten years, on these children’s upbringing, on what kind of people they become and what they will do for the country, as well as on the values they choose as their mainstay in life. The best targeted sanctions are unlikely to convince Russia to abandon the role in shaping the future of Venezuela. A Putin loyalist, he would be well-positioned electorally, having not only the support of the regions, but also having done much to make Moscow … Voting in that ended July 1. Except this is not the first such occasion: in 2019, the journalist Ivan Golunov was arrested, with drugs planted on him by police officers. In the context of the discussion on the role of Russia in the international world, let us analyze the civilizational aspect of today's geopolitical realities. His unsuccessful 2019 registration was his ninth attempt in a row. The Soviet democrats did not know the West, but admired it unconditionally. The Development of Modern Russia. It would have been created if Europe, intoxicated by euphoria and afflicted by strategic dementia in the 1990s, had not rejected the idea of building a common space with Russia. For Andrey Sakharov to transform from a moral icon into a political figure needed a Mikhail Gorbachev who released him from his exile in Gorky and allowed him to be elected to the Congress of People’s Deputies. If asked to name the most important political protests that took place in Russia during the first year of the covid-19 pandemic, most people would likely mention the Navalny protests of early 2021 and the demonstrations in Khabarovsk that lasted for the whole second half of 2020. That, however, would be misleading. And it will seek and find them. So when I heard what happened I decided that I needed to do something. Russian laws are harsh as well as vague, which means that the simple reporting of publicly determinable facts can under some circumstances get one arrested on charges that are secret, ostensibly for the sake of state security. What does it look like? “There are many policies I disagree with – the idea of a sovereign internet, the arrest of [theatre director Kirill] Serebryannikov, and so forth – but I do not want to emigrate, and I do not think that Russia is [part of the] West,” one foreign policy expert described their position to me. Yet, as a phenomenon, these smallest of protests were in some ways the most curious ones – and this has to do with who turned up and why. The Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, recovering from a Novichok attack, duping a would-be assassin into telling him how the chemical weapon was put on his underpants. When it comes to expressing their position, public protest is not their first choice for doing so, but last. Russia's development of ground combat capabilities is likely to continue to focus on long-range strike, C4ISR, and rapidly deployable forces. 10 Feb 2021 | Anastasia Kapetas. The Biden administration must reflect on how the latest Sino-Russian collaboration should be factored into its emerging approach to Vladimir Putin’s Russia. Print. Which way it goes may be one of the big questions for Russia’s future: will people’s personal and professional standards end up pressuring the regime to reform, or will the regime manage to recruit enough loyalists to fill the ranks and ignore such demands? We should accept that it is hard for us to democratise Russia; and if Russia one day democratises, then it will not be along the lines of the political processes that took place in central Europe in the 1990s. A mouldering billion-dollar neo-Italianate palazzo atop a Black Sea cliff face. With the proposal ‘’Weaving Saratov’’, team Karres en Brands, Mandaworks, Kosmos have won the international masterplan competition to transform the decommissioned Saratov-Tsentralny airfield into an ambitious new city centre district. It is a great step forward to develop such an advanced combat suit for its soldiers. T o anticipate the full argument: Putin has been a ruler of consequence for Russia. The Khabarovsk protests may have testified to the Kremlin’s inability to understand the thinking and emotions in far-away corners of the country, or to address their concerns. “The defining characteristic of a member of Putin’s successor generation is a resemblance to Austrian writer Robert Musil’s ‘man without qualities,’” is how Ivan Krastev and Gleb Pavlovsky have described the emerging administrative class. In making Russia change, both the “systemic” and “non-systemic” liberals will have a role. We will never send you any content that is not ECFR related. In other words, they are quite unlikely to be subversives or revolutionaries. But the few people who turned up to defend Safronov were not die-hard opposition supporters, nor alienated souls from the provinces. Russian authorities have refused to extradite Lugovoi, staining Russia-UK relations. The year 2020 may turn out to have lasting influence on Russia's future. ― Angela Stent, author of Putin’s World: Russia Against the West and with the Rest (2019) Nina Jankowicz has written an essential account of the contemporary information war waged by Russia. Those Pesky Sino-Russians. It should stop using the words “pro-Western,” “democrat,” and “liberal” as synonyms in the Russian context, as not all Russian democrats are necessarily liberal, and not all liberals or democrats are inevitably pro-Western. The … Following the fall of the Soviet Union, several developments shaped the newly emerging state of Russia in a way that pushed it toward the creation of an authoritarian system. 21 Dec 2020 | Connor Dilleen. There is hardly any sociological research about them, but an interested Russia-watcher is likely to spot them in many walks of life. When considering Russia’s future leadership, I had long operated under the assumption that when Putin finished his fourth term, there would be a hand-picked successor in line to inherit the title, just as there was in 2008 when Medvedev was elected. Moscow: President Vladimir Putin said Tuesday that Russia has a strong edge in designing new weapons and that it has become the only country in … The role for the West is to offer respectful but politely distant support to both – as opposed to assuming that micromanaging democratic change in Russia is the West’s duty that it failed to discharge in the 1990s, and hence needs to try again. The case became politicised, leading to the mutual expulsion of diplomats in 2007 and the cutting of British ties with the FSB. 07/02/2021 – HR/VP Blog – I went to Moscow this week to test, through principled diplomacy, whether the Russian government was interested in addressing differences and reversing the negative trend in our relations. Moscow sees its space future with China and not the United States, further underscoring its growing strategic alignment with Beijing. The first instinct of a superficial Western observer might be to applaud the phenomenon and interpret it as a sign that Russia is finally ready to “shake off Putin’s dictatorship,” and return to the path of democracy that was taken by central Europe, but that Russia abandoned at some point during the 1990s. Share . News. Of Borscht and Protests: The Female Future of Russia’s Opposition. Notably, this party has no relation to the party by the same name, which opposition figure Alexey Navalny unsuccessfully applied to register in 2019. Even more importantly, it is not actually the protest itself that matters here. Insinuations about Russia's inevitable turn to the East and Moscow's intent to develop further in the wake of Beijing as a new world leader have been widely advertised during the recent years. We will store your email address and your personal data as detailed in our privacy notice. Currently, Russia is 126th in the world, with an average life expectancy of below 70 years of age. However, the actual takeaway for Western policymakers should be a different and a simpler one. The bulk of those who turned up were Moscow-based journalists, often former colleagues of Safronov – people who work not just for opposition media, but also and mostly for state-approved or state-owned media channels. That was the first time I had to go to a police station and the first time that I found myself in a court afterwards.”. According to lawyer Ivan Zhdanov, Navalny’s team has no plans to re-submit the registration documents to the Justice Ministry following the Supreme Court’s decision. The Russian City of the Future Saratov Location: Saratov, Russia Status: Competition. Highlights 1 in Queensland for modern languages. Also, Russia is a top-down country. Russia’s Supreme Court has liquidated the political party “Russia of the Future” (“Rossiya Budushchego”) on the application of the Justice Ministry, reports Interfax. And if we assume that the more suppressive the regime gets, the more it needs to rely on loyalists, the thinner and poorer its professional base becomes, and the more fragile its future … But it needs foreign markets and partners for economic, technological, and digital development. But what is important, and unlikely to disappear, is the wider phenomenon that made these protests possible: the emergence in Russia of a growing and influential social layer of people who wish to have rules, laws, and ethical standards. According to lawyer Ivan Zhdanov, Navalny’s team has no plans to re-submit the registration documents to the Justice Ministry following the Supreme Court’s decision. Turkey forges a strategic future independent of Russia and the West. London-based Russia expert Mark Galeotti, who keeps an eye on those circles, has repeatedly described cases of people in uniform choosing to serve the letter of the law, as opposed to the political order of the day. About China. Media in category "Russia of the Future" The following 2 files are in this category, out of 2 total. Russia has made increasing use of information warfare to influence the internal affairs of its neighbors and adversaries …